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Jason Carmel Davis is a copy editor/page designer with the Oakland Press and Heritage Newspapers. Davis has also written a number of offbeat sports columns for other publications, as he has an unhealthy obsession with all things athletics. It's so unhealthy that he has planned the births of his (future) children around Bowl Season, the Super Bowl, the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament and the NBA and NFL drafts.

Friday, April 30, 2010

Why the Celtics will beat the Cavs

LeBron James Monday night will receive his second straight NBA MVP Award. He will become a part of a select group of 10 that includes names like Jordan, Russell, Abdul-Jabbar, Bird and Johnson. Steve Nash is on the list, too, but that's another discussion for another day. You know how when you go out and you see a group of 10 beautiful women and one "less than desirable" one? Guess where Steve Nash fits in?

That list also includes a combined 18 NBA Finals MVPs. Nash doesn't have one of those. Neither will LeBron, after this season, at least, because the Celtics are going to knock LeBron's Cavs out of the playoffs for the second time in three postseasons.

LeBron is easily the best player in the league. And he'll easily be the best player in this series, which tips off tomorrow night. But the team with the best player doesn't always win in the NBA. It happens frequently, but not 100 percent of the time. Ask the '04 Lakers or the '88 Bulls or any of several teams Wilt Chamberlain played on if that's true.

No. 1 is vital, but 2-8 is what wins championships. After LeBron, Boston has the next three best players (Paul Pierce, Rajon Rondo, Ray Allen) in the series. Each of those three is playoff tested. Is Antawn Jamison, who Cleveland acquired prior to the Trade deadline in February and who, until this week, never advanced past the first round? What about Mo Williams, who shot 40 percent from the field in the 2009 playoffs? What's a 37-year-old Shaq gonna give Cleveland game to game?

Another factor that plays into Boston's hands is rest. The Celtics haven't played since Tuesday. That's four days rest for the oldest team in the playoffs. Game one in Cleveland is a game Boston can - and will - steal. I can't give them game two, since James will receive his MVP Award Monday night prior to tip off. Game three isn't until Friday, giving the aging, prideful Celtics three more days of rest. That will be key for a team that has five guys in its regular rotation who's average age is 34.2.

Pierce, at 32, is the youngest of those five. He is also the player who will guard James and vice versa. That will wear on LeBron, since he barely broke a sweat on D against Chicago in the first round. Yes, I fully expect LeBron to outplay Pierce this series, but James will work for everything he gets. Pierce will also challenge James to play a high level of defense, too.

I have a feeling James will be out on an island this series, receiving little help from his teammates. A number of players on the Celtics have come through in big spots over the course of their careers - even Rasheed Wallace, who, from the look of his bustline, could have been in that Lane Bryant ad that was recently outlawed. Cleveland doesn't have that luxury, which could allow Boston to key its defense on LeBron, which has worked for the Celtics against "one-man shows" in the past - Dwyane Wade in the first round, Kobe Bryant in the 2008 Finals.

Neither of those guys, at the time, played with players who were ready for prime time. Unfortunately for LeBron, neither does he.

Celtics in 6.

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